Determinants of Inflation in Palestine

Authors

  • Bahaaeddin Alareeni University College of Applied Sciences,‎ Gaza Strip Author
  • Nariman Qdeh University College of Applied Sciences, ‎ Gaza Strip Author
  • Mohammed Salem Lulu Ministry of Agriculture,‎ Gaza Strip Author

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.51325/ijbeg.v1i3.43

Keywords:

Inflation Rate; Economic Growth Rate; ‎Palestine

Abstract

This study aimed at identifying the most important determinants and economic factors affecting inflation ‎rates in Palestine during the period (2000-2014), in order to help in reducing its effects on the ‎Palestinian economy. The descriptive and analytical approach was used, by selecting a set of variables ‎that were expected to have an impact on the inflation rates in the Palestinian economy, as these factors ‎were as economic growth rate, interest rate, exchange rate, unemployment rate, money supply, ‎wages, the inflation rate in Israel, and the global inflation rate. Two statistical models were developed for ‎West Bank and Gaza Strip separately, based on quarter time series data for determinants of inflation in ‎the Palestinian economy for the period from 2000-2014. The results showed the significant impact of: ‎‎(the exchange rate, the Israeli inflation rate, the economic growth rate) on the inflation rate in the West ‎Bank. In addition, it showed the significant effect of: (global inflation rate, unemployment rate, the ‎economic growth rate) on the inflation rate in Gaza Strip. The other variables: credit facility, wage rate ‎, and interest rate were statistically insignificant. In light of this, the study recommended the necessity of ‎issuing a national currency to reduce the losses of the Palestinian economy due to the absence of the ‎national currency, as well as the pressure of imports and trying to find local alternatives by supporting the ‎national product, as well as the need to review trade and economic policies between the Palestinian ‎Authority and Israel to serve the development of the Palestinian economy.‎

Author Biographies

  • Bahaaeddin Alareeni, University College of Applied Sciences,‎ Gaza Strip

    University College of Applied Sciences,

    Gaza Strip, Palestine

  • Nariman Qdeh, University College of Applied Sciences, ‎ Gaza Strip

    University College of Applied Sciences, ‎

    Gaza Strip, Palestine

  • Mohammed Salem Lulu, Ministry of Agriculture,‎ Gaza Strip

    Ministry of Agriculture,

    Gaza Strip, Palestine

References

Abdelkader, Al Said Metwally. (2007). Derivation of the Error Correction Model from ‎The Johansen Isometric Test. A Theoretical Framework and an Applied Example ‎Using Eviews5. Higher Institute of Computers, Management Information Systems ‎and Management Sciences, Egypt. ‎(in Arabic)‎

Abdul Aleem Khan et. Al. (2007). Determinants of Recent Inflation in Pakista, Social ‎Policy and Development Center: Karach, Munich Personal RePEcArchive ‎‎(MPRA), Working Paper No. 16254. (in Arabic)‎

Alareeni, B., & Branson, J. (2011). The relative performance of auditors’ going-concern ‎opinions and statistical failure prediction models in Jordan. Accountancy & ‎Bedrijfskunde, 31 (8), 23-35‎

Alareeni, B., & Branson, J. (2013). Predicting listed companies' failure in jordan using ‎altman models: a case study. International Journal of Business and ‎Management, 8(1), 113-126.‎

Alareeni, Deghash. (2016). Applicability of the balanced scorecard to assess performance ‎of al-aqsa media network institution in gaza strip. IUG Journal of Economics and ‎Business, 24(3), 21-46‎

Al-Hajhouj, Hassan. (2009). Determinants of Inflation in the Arab Gulf Cooperation ‎Council Countries: Method of Joint Integration, Department of Economics and ‎Planning, College of Administrative Sciences and Planning, King Faisal ‎University. ‎(in Arabic)‎

Al-Jalal, Ahmad (2006). The Role of Monetary and Financial Policies in Combating ‎Inflation in Developing Countries: A Case Study of the Republic of Yemen for the ‎Period 1990-2003. [Unpublished Master Thesis], Department of Management ‎Sciences, Faculty of Economic Sciences and Management Sciences, University of ‎Algiers, Algeria. ‎(in Arabic)‎

Al-Jarrah, Muhammad. (2011). Sources of inflation in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia “A ‎study using the entry of boundary test, Journal of Economic and Legal Sciences. ‎‎(in Arabic)‎

Al-Musbah, Imad Al-Din. (2006). Determinants of inflation in Syria during the period ‎‎1970 – 2004. Journal of Social Sciences, Kuwait University, Scientific Publishing ‎Council, Kuwait. ‎(in Arabic)‎

Al-Omar, Hussain. (2007). Determinants of Inflation in the State of Kuwait. Journal of ‎Economic and Administrative Sciences, College of Business Studies, Kuwait. ‎(in ‎Arabic)‎

Al-Samhouri, Muhammad. (2000). Money and Banking Economics, Al-Azhar ‎University, Palestine.‎

Al-Shboul, Naif, (1981). Inflation in the Jordanian Economy - An Analytical Study of ‎Its Causes, Measurement and Treatment. [Unpublished Master Thesis], Faculty of ‎Commerce, Ain Shams University. ‎(in Arabic)‎

Al-Zahwi, Hussein Abdel-Moneim. (2010). An Econometric Study of the Determinants ‎of Inflation in Egypt During the Period (1986 - 2006). [Unpublished Master's ‎Thesis], Cairo University, Egypt. ‎(in Arabic)‎

Attia, Abdelkader. (2005). Modern Econometrics, Between Theory and Practice, ‎University House, Alexandria. ‎(in Arabic)‎

Bayo, F. (2005). Determinants of inflation in Nigeria: An empirical ‎analysis. International Journal of Humanities and Social Science, 1(18), 262-271.‎

Bernanke, B. (2005). Inflation in Latin America—Anew Era? Paper presented at ‎theStanford Institute for Economic Policy Research Economic Summit, February.‎

El-hiti, et. Al., (2010). The effect of exchange rate fluctuations on inflation rates in the ‎Jordanian and Turkish economies. Anbar University Journal of Economic and ‎Administrative Sciences, 2(3). ‎(in Arabic)‎

Greenidge, K., & DaCosta, D. (2009). Determinants of inflation in selected caribbean ‎countries. Journal of Business, Finance & Economics in Emerging ‎Economies, 4(2), 371-397.‎

Gujarati, Damodar N. (2004). Basic Econometrics, McGraw companies.‎

Hammoud, Nawal. (2011). The use of the joint integration analysis methodology to ‎demonstrate the impact of monetary and real variables on inflation. Anbar ‎University Journal of Economic and Management Sciences. ‎(in Arabic)‎

Hathat, Saeed. (2006). An Economic and Measurement Study of the Phenomenon of ‎Inflation in Algeria. [Unpublished Master's Thesis], Kassdi Mariah University, ‎Algeria. ‎(in Arabic)‎

International Monetary Fund. (2003). Inflation - Achieving the Right Balance. ‎Development Finance Journal, Washington, DC.‎

International Monetary Fund. (2014) Report. ‎(in Arabic)‎

Khader, Zahir. (2012). The effect of the exchange rate on the overall indicators of the ‎Palestinian economy (1994-2010)‎‏.‏‎ [Unpublished Master's Thesis], Al-Azhar ‎University, Gaza. ‎(in Arabic)‎

Laryea, Samuel & R. Sumaila, Ussif. (2001)‎‏.‏‎ Determinants of Inflation in Tanzania, ‎Development Studies and Human Rights (DSHR), Working Paper No. 12.‎

Mukalled, Ramadan, and the Alfeel, Osama. (2012). Macroeconomic Theory, University ‎Education House, Alexandria, Egypt. ‎(in Arabic)‎

Pahlavani, M., & Rahimi, M. (2009). Sources of inflation in Iran: An application of the ‎ARDL approach. International Journal of Applied Econometrics and Quantitative ‎Studies, 6(1), 61-76.‎

Palestine Monetary Authority, Annual Report 2015, 2014, 2013, 2010, 2006.‎

Palestinian Central Bureau of Statistics. (2013). Palestinian Labor Force Survey: Annual ‎Report: 2012, 2013. ‎(in Arabic)‎

Palestinian Central Bureau of Statistics. (2014). National Accounts at Current and ‎Constant Prices: 1994-2012, 2014. ‎(in Arabic)‎

Palestinian Central Bureau of Statistics. (2014). Palestine Statistical Yearbook. ‎(in ‎Arabic)‎

Palestinian Central Bureau of Statistics. (2014). Prices and Index Numbers Annual ‎Bulletin: 2013, 2014.‎

Rajab and Waddah. (2011). Inflation and Depression: Causes and Solutions According ‎to the Principles of Islamic Economics, Dar Al-Nafaes for Publishing and ‎Distribution, Beirut, Lebanon. ‎(in Arabic)‎

Safi, Samir. (2015). Introduction to Regression Model Analysis Using EVIEWS, ‎Publisher: Afaq Library, Gaza-Palestine. ‎(in Arabic)‎

Sahadudheen, I. (2012). A cointegration and error correction approach to the ‎determinants of inflation in India. International Journal of Economic ‎Research, 3(1), 105-112.‎

Samuelson, Paul, Nordhouse, William. (2006). Economy, the National House for ‎Publishing and Distribution, Amman, Jordan.‎

Shaltout, Hafez Mahmoud. (2008). The Economics of Money and Banking, Engineering ‎House Press, Cairo. ‎(in Arabic)‎

Shanbeesh, Muhammad. (2013). A study of the relationship between inflation, money ‎supply and the exchange rate in the Libyan economy during the period (1992-‎‎2008). The University Journal, 1(15). ‎(in Arabic)‎

The Palestinian Economic Policy Research Institute. (2013). The Economic and Social ‎Monitor, No. (34). ‎(in Arabic)‎

UNCTAD (2012). United Nations Conference, Report on UNCTAD Assistance to the ‎Palestinian People: Developments in the Economy of the Occupied Palestinian ‎Territory.‎

Yol, MarialAwou (2010). Determinants of Inflation in Sudan: An EmpircalAnalysis, ‎Policies, Research and Statistics Department, The Central Bank of Sudan.‎

Zaki, Ramzi (1980). The Problem of Inflation in Egypt, its Causes and Consequences, ‎with Proposals to Combat High Prices, the Egyptian General Book Authority, ‎Cairo. ‎(in Arabic)

Downloads

Published

2018-09-30

How to Cite

Alareeni, B., Qdeh, N., & Lulu, M. S. (2018). Determinants of Inflation in Palestine. EuroMid Journal of Business and Tech-Innovation (EJBTI), 1(3), 67-94. https://doi.org/10.51325/ijbeg.v1i3.43

Similar Articles

1-10 of 65

You may also start an advanced similarity search for this article.

Most read articles by the same author(s)